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Every tool runs on the same verified pull rates as our set pages (156,700+ packs of evidence) and today's card prices. No sign-up, no paywall.

Chance of at least one Special Illustration Rare by packs opened: 30th Celebration 83% in a booster box, Paldea Evolved 69% in a booster box, Scarlet & Violet 68% in a booster box, Obsidian Flames 68% in a booster box, 151 68% in a booster box, Prismatic Evolutions 55% in a booster box, Paradox Rift 54% in a booster box, Paldean Fates 46% in a booster box, Ascended Heroes 41% in a booster box, Phantasmal Flames 36% in a booster box, Perfect Order 36% in a booster box, Chaos Rising 35% in a booster box, Temporal Forces 35% in a booster box, Twilight Masquerade 35% in a booster box, Journey Together 34% in a booster box, Surging Sparks 34% in a booster box, Stellar Crown 33% in a booster box, Destined Rivals 33% in a booster box, Mega Evolution 30% in a booster box. 25%50%75%100%1 pack9 (ETB)36 (box)30% Mega Evolution33% Destined Rivals33% Stellar Crown34% Surging Sparks34% Journey Together35% Twilight Masquerade35% Temporal Forces35% Chaos Rising36% Perfect Order36% Phantasmal Flames41% Ascended Heroes46% Paldean Fates54% Paradox Rift55% Prismatic Evolutions68% 15168% Obsidian Flames68% Scarlet & Violet69% Paldea Evolved83% 30th Celebration
Chance of at least one SIR, by packs opened

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What happens if I open a box?

Open packs one at a time or a box at once at the measured pull rates, then see how thousands of openings turn out.

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  • Packs drawn at measured rates
  • Hits valued at today's prices
  • 20,000-run value curve
  • Your chance to break even

More calculators

Static, fast, and built for one question each.

  • Which packs should I buy with my budget?

    Pack mix calculator

    Mix products from different sets, see what the whole haul returns, and find the mix that gets the most back for your money.

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  • How many packs to pull the card I want?

    How many packs?

    Packs you'd need for a 50%, 75%, or 90% chance at any rarity, or one specific card, in every set.

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  • Should I chase it or just buy it?

    Open or buy the single?

    What it costs to have even odds of pulling each chase card, next to what the card sells for today.

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  • What are my odds of a Special Illustration Rare?

    SIR odds

    Every set's SIR odds, and your chance of at least one in a pack, bundle, Elite Trainer Box, or booster box.

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Tools on every set page

Each set page has interactive odds and value tools for that set. Jump straight in:

  • What are my odds?Chance of each rarity for any number of packs
  • Is it worth opening?Average value vs. what you pay
  • Pull rate summaryEvery rarity, with ranges and sources
SetWhat are my odds?Is it worth opening?Pull rate summary
30th CelebrationSep 16, 2026Open Open Open
Chaos RisingMay 22, 2026Open Open Open
Perfect OrderMar 27, 2026Open Open Open
Ascended HeroesJan 30, 2026Open Open Open
Phantasmal FlamesNov 14, 2025Open Open Open
Mega EvolutionSep 26, 2025Open Open Open
Destined RivalsMay 30, 2025Open Open Open
Journey TogetherMar 28, 2025Open Open Open
Prismatic EvolutionsJan 17, 2025Open Open Open
Surging SparksNov 8, 2024Open Open Open
Stellar CrownSep 13, 2024Open Open Open
Twilight MasqueradeMay 24, 2024Open Open Open
Temporal ForcesMar 22, 2024Open Open Open
Paldean FatesJan 26, 2024Open Open Open
Paradox RiftNov 3, 2023Open Open Open
151Sep 22, 2023Open Open Open
Obsidian FlamesAug 11, 2023Open Open Open
Paldea EvolvedJun 9, 2023Open Open Open
Scarlet & VioletMar 31, 2023Open Open Open
Crown ZenithJan 20, 2023Open Open Open
Silver TempestNov 11, 2022Open Open Open
Lost OriginSep 9, 2022Open Open Open
Astral RadianceMay 27, 2022Open Open Open
Evolving SkiesAug 27, 2021Open Open Open

How the numbers are made: our methodology. Not financial advice; results are estimates.

Want the evidence behind a number?

Every set page lists the openings we counted, the ones we didn't, and how sure we are.

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