Alt ArtLugia V
$505.76
1 in 667 packs
Pull rate analysis
Silver Tempest pull rates
Every rarity's odds from 1 verified opening, 8,000+ packs in all, plus your chances by product and what a pack is really worth.
$186.69
$38.89
$33.50
$30.21
In Pokémon Silver Tempest, an Alternate-art Pokémon V turns up in about 1 in 167 packs (0.60%), from 48 hits in 8,000 packs across 1 verified opening, checked Oct 7, 2026. At today's prices the hits in an average pack are worth $4.70, against $15.00 for a loose pack.
- 8,000Packs measuredFrom 1 verified study
- $4.70Hit value / packAverage value vs. $15.00 loose pack
- Nov 11, 2022Release dateSet code SWSH12
Pull rate summary
How often each rarity turns up, based on every verified pack we have. “Specific card” assumes every card in a rarity is equally likely.
| Rarity | Odds per pack | 95% range | Sample | How sure we are |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pokémon VSpecific card: 1 in 130 (15 cards) | 1 in 911.55% | 10.86%–12.26%±6% of the rate | 924 in 8,000packs, reconstructed | Very sureSIT-001 |
| VMAX or VSTARSpecific card: 1 in 188 (7 cards) | 1 in 273.72% | 3.33%–4.16%±11% of the rate | 298 in 8,000packs, reconstructed | Very sureSIT-001 |
| Full-art Pokémon VSpecific card: 1 in 667 (14 cards) | 1 in 482.10% | 1.80%–2.43%±15% of the rate | 168 in 8,000packs, reconstructed | Very sureSIT-001 |
| Full-art TrainerSpecific card: 1 in 792 (8 cards) | 1 in 991.01% | 0.81%–1.25%±22% of the rate | 81 in 8,000packs, reconstructed | Very sureSIT-001 |
| Alternate-art Pokémon VSpecific card: 1 in 667 (4 cards) | 1 in 1670.60% | 0.45%–0.79%±28% of the rate | 48 in 8,000packs, reconstructed | Fairly sureSIT-001 |
| Rainbow RareSpecific card: 1 in 1,111 (14 cards) | 1 in 791.26% | 1.04%–1.53%±19% of the rate | 101 in 8,000packs, reconstructed | Very sureSIT-001 |
| Gold RareSpecific card: 1 in 638 (6 cards) | 1 in 1060.94% | 0.74%–1.17%±23% of the rate | 75 in 8,000packs, reconstructed | Very sureSIT-001 |
| Radiant RareSpecific card: 1 in 66 (3 cards) | 1 in 224.55% | 4.11%–5.02%±10% of the rate | 364 in 8,000packs, reconstructed | Very sureSIT-001 |
| Trainer Gallery (any)Specific card: 1 in 245 (30 cards) | 1 in 812.23% | 11.52%–12.96%±6% of the rate | 978 in 8,000packs, reconstructed | Very sureSIT-001 |
| Trainer Gallery: non-V PokémonSpecific card: 1 in 133 (11 cards) | 1 in 128.25% | 7.66%–8.87%±7% of the rate | 660 in 8,000packs, reconstructed | Very sureSIT-001 |
| Trainer Gallery: V, VMAX or TrainerSpecific card: 1 in 552 (17 cards) | 1 in 323.08% | 2.71%–3.47%±12% of the rate | 246 in 8,000packs, reconstructed | Very sureSIT-001 |
| Trainer Gallery: gold-and-black VMAXSpecific card: 1 in 222 (2 cards) | 1 in 1110.90% | 0.71%–1.13%±23% of the rate | 72 in 8,000packs, reconstructed | Very sureSIT-001 |
Most valuable cards
Today's TCGplayer market price, and your odds of pulling each card in one pack if every card in its rarity is equally likely.
Rayquaza VMAX
$186.69
1 in 245 packs
Lugia VSTAR
$38.89
1 in 1,111 packs
Blaziken VMAX
$33.50
1 in 245 packs
Unown V
$30.21
1 in 667 packs
Trainer Gallery (any)
Blaziken V
$28.45
1 in 245 packs
Gold Rare
Lugia VSTAR
$26.50
1 in 638 packs
Alt Art
Regidrago V
$26.18
1 in 667 packs
Rainbow Rare
Alolan Vulpix VSTAR
$24.43
1 in 1,111 packs
Trainer Gallery (any)
Rayquaza VMAX
$24.29
1 in 245 packs
Trainer Gallery (any)
Serperior V
$21.20
1 in 245 packs
Trainer Gallery (any)
Blissey V
$21.19
1 in 245 packs
Prices as of Oct 12, 2026. Card images are shown for identification.
Do other openings agree?
Every opening we found lands close to our numbers, across all 7 rarities.
Every opening is a bit different by luck. "Agrees" means the difference is small enough to be luck of the draw. Openings marked “Not yet verified” aren't used in our numbers.
Pokémon V
Our number: 1 in 9 packs
- TCGplayer Authentication Center8,000 packs1 in 9Agrees
- Bleeding Cool "Pull Rate Quest" (Theo Dwyer)Not yet verifiedinstallments 1–4144 packs1 in 9Agrees
Full-art Pokémon V
Our number: 1 in 48 packs
- TCGplayer Authentication Center8,000 packs1 in 48Agrees
- Bleeding Cool "Pull Rate Quest" (Theo Dwyer)Not yet verifiedinstallments 1–4144 packs · small sample1 in 36Agrees
Full-art Trainer
Our number: 1 in 99 packs
- TCGplayer Authentication Center8,000 packs1 in 99Agrees
- Bleeding Cool "Pull Rate Quest" (Theo Dwyer)Not yet verifiedinstallments 1–4144 packs · small sample1 in 72Agrees
Alternate-art Pokémon V
Our number: 1 in 167 packs
- TCGplayer Authentication Center8,000 packs1 in 167Agrees
- Bleeding Cool "Pull Rate Quest" (Theo Dwyer)Not yet verifiedinstallments 1–4144 packsNone foundAgrees
Rainbow Rare
Our number: 1 in 79 packs
- TCGplayer Authentication Center8,000 packs1 in 79Agrees
- DigitalTQNot yet verified718 packs · small sample1 in 80Agrees
- Bleeding Cool "Pull Rate Quest" (Theo Dwyer)Not yet verifiedinstallments 1–4144 packs · small sample1 in 48Agrees
Radiant Rare
Our number: 1 in 22 packs
- TCGplayer Authentication Center8,000 packs1 in 22Agrees
- DigitalTQNot yet verified718 packs1 in 18Agrees
- Bleeding Cool "Pull Rate Quest" (Theo Dwyer)Not yet verifiedinstallments 1–4144 packs · small sample1 in 14Agrees
Trainer Gallery (any)
Our number: 1 in 8 packs
- TCGplayer Authentication Center8,000 packs1 in 8Agrees
- Bleeding Cool "Pull Rate Quest" (Theo Dwyer)Not yet verifiedinstallments 1–4144 packs1 in 8Agrees
How we decide if an opening agrees
Someone who opens 100 packs can easily land on 1 in 15 or 1 in 30 for a rarity that's really 1 in 20, just by luck. Bigger openings land closer to the true rate. For each opening we work out the range its pack count could plausibly produce (a 95% interval). If our number falls inside that range, the opening agrees. "Small sample" means that range is wide, so the opening can't confirm or rule out much on its own.
What are my odds?
| Rarity | Per pack | Chance of at least one in 36 | Packs for 50% / 90% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pokémon V | 1 in 9 | 98.8% (98.4%–99.1%) | 6 / 19 |
| VMAX or VSTAR | 1 in 27 | 74.5% (70.4%–78.3%) | 19 / 61 |
| Full-art Pokémon V | 1 in 48 | 53.4% (48.1%–58.8%) | 33 / 109 |
| Full-art Trainer | 1 in 99 | 30.6% (25.4%–36.4%) | 69 / 227 |
| Alternate-art Pokémon V | 1 in 167 | 19.5% (14.9%–24.8%) | 116 / 383 |
| Rainbow Rare | 1 in 79 | 36.6% (31.2%–42.5%) | 55 / 182 |
| Gold Rare | 1 in 106 | 28.8% (23.6%–34.5%) | 74 / 244 |
| Radiant Rare | 1 in 22 | 81.3% (77.9%–84.4%) | 15 / 50 |
| Trainer Gallery (any) | 1 in 8 | 99.1% (98.8%–99.3%) | 6 / 18 |
| Trainer Gallery: non-V Pokémon | 1 in 12 | 95.5% (94.3%–96.5%) | 9 / 27 |
| Trainer Gallery: V, VMAX or Trainer | 1 in 32 | 67.6% (62.9%–72.0%) | 23 / 74 |
| Trainer Gallery: gold-and-black VMAX | 1 in 111 | 27.8% (22.6%–33.5%) | 77 / 255 |
Ranges reflect the 95% uncertainty in the measured rate. Odds are independent per pack; no product guarantees a hit.
Your odds as you open more packs
Open Silver Tempest packs
0 packs openedEvery pack is drawn at Silver Tempest's measured pull rates, and every hit is a real card at today's price.
- Spent
- $0.00
- Pulled
- $0.00
- Net
- $0.00
$15.00 a pack · hits valued at what they'd sell for after fees
Auto speed
Default: one loose pack's TCGplayer market price today.
Open until I get…Auto-opens until you get it, then shows how your luck compares.
Your pulls
Every card you pull collects here. About 34% of packs have a hit.
Value is what you'd net selling each hit (13% fees + $0.30; under $1.50 counts as $0.05). Luck ranks your run against thousands of simulated runs of the same length. Most runs finish below the long-run average, because a few huge pulls drag the average up. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos aren't counted. Just for fun: each run is random.
Is it worth opening?
Simulates opening 36 packs using the measured pull rates and current card prices.
Booster box: $523 today · MSRP $144 (Scrydex, Oct 12, 2026). Sealed products sell well above MSRP once they're hard to find at retail.
Simulating…
Top chase cards
| Card | Market price | Per pack | Chance in 36 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lugia V #186 Alternate-art Pokémon V | $506 | 1 in 667 | 5.3% |
| Rayquaza VMAX #TG20 Trainer Gallery: V, VMAX or Trainer | $187 | 1 in 552 | 6.3% |
| Lugia VSTAR #202 Rainbow Rare | $38.89 | 1 in 1,111 | 3.2% |
| Blaziken VMAX #TG15 Trainer Gallery: V, VMAX or Trainer | $33.50 | 1 in 552 | 6.3% |
| Unown V #177 Alternate-art Pokémon V | $30.21 | 1 in 667 | 5.3% |
| Blaziken V #TG14 Trainer Gallery: V, VMAX or Trainer | $28.45 | 1 in 552 | 6.3% |
| Lugia VSTAR #211 Gold Rare | $26.50 | 1 in 638 | 5.5% |
| Regidrago V #184 Alternate-art Pokémon V | $26.18 | 1 in 667 | 5.3% |
Counts hits only (Pokémon V, VMAX or VSTAR, Full-art Pokémon V, Full-art Trainer, Alternate-art Pokémon V, Rainbow Rare, Gold Rare, Trainer Gallery: non-V Pokémon, Trainer Gallery: V, VMAX or Trainer, Trainer Gallery: gold-and-black VMAX, Radiant Rare), valued at what you'd likely net selling them: market price minus 13% fees and $0.30 per card, with cards under $1.50 counted as bulk ($0.05). Commons, uncommons, regular rares and reverse holos are left out, so this understates total value slightly.
The pack layout for this set is provisional: some slot assignments come from secondary sources.
Not financial advice. Prices change daily; results are estimates, not guarantees.
Card prices: TCGplayer market price via Scrydex (101 cards), as of 2026-10-12. Sealed prices: Scrydex, Oct 12, 2026. Price paid defaults to today's market price; switch to MSRP or enter what you actually paid. Open in the full pack simulator.
Where a pack's value comes from
An average pack's hits are worth about $2.26 after selling fees, against a $3.99 MSRP (packs sell for about $15.00 today). Just 5 cards account for 52% of that.
The cards carrying the value
- Lugia V #186: $0.66 per pack (29%)
- Rayquaza VMAX #TG20: $0.29 per pack (13%)
- Rayquaza VMAX #TG29: $0.09 per pack (4%)
- Lugia V #138: $0.08 per pack (4%)
- Blaziken VMAX #TG15: $0.05 per pack (2%)
What a hit is usually worth
Most cards in each rarity sell for far less than the few chase cards. On average you pull one card worth $20+ every 47 packs.
13 Under $2, 1 $2–10, 1 $10–20
5 Under $2, 2 $2–10
2 Under $2, 10 $2–10, 2 $10–20
1 Under $2, 6 $2–10, 1 $10–20
1 $10–20, 2 $20–50, 1 $50+
10 $2–10, 2 $10–20, 2 $20–50
1 Under $2, 4 $2–10, 1 $20–50
2 Under $2, 9 $2–10
1 Under $2, 6 $2–10, 5 $10–20, 4 $20–50, 1 $50+
1 $2–10, 1 $20–50
2 Under $2, 1 $2–10
Under $2 $2–10 $10–20 $20–50 $50+
Value per pack = chance of pulling each card × what you'd net selling it. Cards within a rarity are assumed equally likely. Price brackets use TCGplayer market price before fees.
Quick answers
- When did Pokémon Silver Tempest come out?
- Silver Tempest came out on Nov 11, 2022 in English.
- What are the chase cards in Silver Tempest?
- By today's market price: Lugia V (Alternate-art Pokémon V, $505.76, about 1 in 667 packs), Rayquaza VMAX (Trainer Gallery (any), $186.69, about 1 in 245 packs), and Lugia VSTAR (Rainbow Rare, $38.89, about 1 in 1,111 packs).
- Is Silver Tempest worth opening?
- On average, no: the hits in a pack are worth about $4.70 at today's prices, against $15.00 for a loose pack. Open for fun; buy the single if you want one card.
- Is a Silver Tempest booster box worth it?
- A booster box has 36 packs and sells for about $523. Its hits are worth about $169 on average.
- How many packs are in a Silver Tempest Elite Trainer Box?
- 8 packs.
Where these numbers come from
We only count openings we've checked against the original source. When several qualify, we add up the hits and packs across them.
TCGplayer Authentication CenterUsed in our numbers
DigitalTQNot yet verified
Bleeding Cool "Pull Rate Quest" (Theo Dwyer), installments 1–4Not yet verified
Coded YellowNot yet verified
Prices: Scrydex.
Rates are as published by the source; combined rates are total hits divided by total packs. Ranges are Jeffreys 95% intervals. How sure we are: “Very sure” when the range is within ±25% of the rate, “Fairly sure” within ±50%, otherwise “Rough estimate.”
How to cite this page
Poké Life, “Pokémon Silver Tempest pull rates,” https://poke-life.com/sets/silver-tempest/ (data checked Oct 7, 2026). CC BY 4.0.Free to share and adapt under CC BY 4.0. The rates change when we verify new openings, so include the date. A copy of the numbers that won't change: 2026-10-12 version (all versions).