Calculator
Open packs or buy the single?
For each chase card: how much you'd spend on packs for a coin-flip chance of pulling it, next to what the card sells for today.
192 of 192Cheaper to buy the singleAmong the chase cards below
55×Typical cost of chasingPacks for even odds vs. the card's price
Chase cards, most valuable first
The 8 most valuable cards in each priced set. “Even odds” means a 50% chance: half the people who spend that much still miss.
| Card | Sells for | Odds per pack | Packs for even odds | Cost of those packs | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Umbreon VMAXEvolving Skies · #215 · Alternate-art Pokémon VMAX | $2,265 | 1 in 2,000 | 1,386 | $60,735at $43.82 a pack | Buy the single27× the price |
 Umbreon exPrismatic Evolutions · #161 · Special Illustration Rare | $1,285 | 1 in 1,441 | 999 | $13,896at $13.91 a pack | Buy the single11× the price |
 Rayquaza VMAXEvolving Skies · #218 · Alternate-art Pokémon VMAX | $1,269 | 1 in 2,000 | 1,386 | $60,735at $43.82 a pack | Buy the single48× the price |
 Mew exPaldean Fates · #232 · Special Illustration Rare | $865.73 | 1 in 465 | 323 | $7,762at $24.03 a pack | Buy the single9.0× the price |
 Giratina VLost Origin · #186 · Alternate-art Pokémon V | $851.13 | 1 in 800 | 555 | $10,712at $19.30 a pack | Buy the single13× the price |
 Mega Gengar exAscended Heroes · #284 · Special Illustration Rare | $833.70 | 1 in 1,528 | 1,059 | $12,602at $11.90 a pack | Buy the single15× the price |
 Pikachu exAscended Heroes · #276 · Special Illustration Rare | $798.52 | 1 in 1,528 | 1,059 | $12,602at $11.90 a pack | Buy the single16× the price |
 Mega Charizard X exPhantasmal Flames · #125 · Special Illustration Rare | $634.87 | 1 in 400 | 277 | $3,321at $11.99 a pack | Buy the single5.2× the price |
 Lugia VSilver Tempest · #186 · Alternate-art Pokémon V | $505.76 | 1 in 667 | 462 | $6,930at $15.00 a pack | Buy the single14× the price |
 Dragonite VEvolving Skies · #192 · Alternate-art Pokémon V | $497.16 | 1 in 1,000 | 693 | $30,367at $43.82 a pack | Buy the single61× the price |
 Rayquaza VEvolving Skies · #194 · Alternate-art Pokémon V | $482.19 | 1 in 1,000 | 693 | $30,367at $43.82 a pack | Buy the single63× the price |
 Mega Dragonite exAscended Heroes · #290 · Special Illustration Rare | $479.02 | 1 in 1,528 | 1,059 | $12,602at $11.90 a pack | Buy the single26× the price |
 Sylveon exPrismatic Evolutions · #156 · Special Illustration Rare | $462.13 | 1 in 1,441 | 999 | $13,896at $13.91 a pack | Buy the single30× the price |
 Leafeon VMAXEvolving Skies · #205 · Alternate-art Pokémon VMAX | $385.09 | 1 in 2,000 | 1,386 | $60,735at $43.82 a pack | Buy the single158× the price |
 Sylveon VMAXEvolving Skies · #212 · Alternate-art Pokémon VMAX | $384.06 | 1 in 2,000 | 1,386 | $60,735at $43.82 a pack | Buy the single158× the price |
 Umbreon VEvolving Skies · #189 · Alternate-art Pokémon V | $380.03 | 1 in 1,000 | 693 | $30,367at $43.82 a pack | Buy the single80× the price |
 Team Rocket's Mewtwo exDestined Rivals · #231 · Special Illustration Rare | $378.19 | 1 in 1,009 | 700 | $6,090at $8.70 a pack | Buy the single16× the price |
 MagikarpPaldea Evolved · #203 · Illustration Rare | $355.55 | 1 in 468 | 324 | $5,268at $16.26 a pack | Buy the single15× the price |
 Charizard ex151 · #199 · Special Illustration Rare | $320.91 | 1 in 225 | 156 | $4,441at $28.47 a pack | Buy the single14× the price |
 Greninja exTwilight Masquerade · #214 · Special Illustration Rare | $320.74 | 1 in 940 | 652 | $5,985at $9.18 a pack | Buy the single19× the price |
 Leafeon exPrismatic Evolutions · #144 · Special Illustration Rare | $315.40 | 1 in 1,441 | 999 | $13,896at $13.91 a pack | Buy the single44× the price |
 Glaceon VMAXEvolving Skies · #209 · Alternate-art Pokémon VMAX | $307.86 | 1 in 2,000 | 1,386 | $60,735at $43.82 a pack | Buy the single197× the price |
 Pikachu exAscended Heroes · #277 · Special Illustration Rare | $301.51 | 1 in 1,528 | 1,059 | $12,602at $11.90 a pack | Buy the single42× the price |
 Mega Charizard Y exAscended Heroes · #294 · Mega Hyper Rare | $292.47 | 1 in 1,053 | 730 | $8,687at $11.90 a pack | Buy the single30× the price |
 Giratina VSTARCrown Zenith · #GG69 · Galarian Gallery (any) | $290.72 | 1 in 199 | 138 | $3,563at $25.82 a pack | Buy the single12× the price |
 Espeon exPrismatic Evolutions · #155 · Special Illustration Rare | $290.49 | 1 in 1,441 | 999 | $13,896at $13.91 a pack | Buy the single48× the price |
 Pikachu exSurging Sparks · #238 · Special Illustration Rare | $276.42 | 1 in 957 | 663 | $5,808at $8.76 a pack | Buy the single21× the price |
 Vaporeon exPrismatic Evolutions · #149 · Special Illustration Rare | $264.93 | 1 in 1,441 | 999 | $13,896at $13.91 a pack | Buy the single52× the price |
 Glaceon exPrismatic Evolutions · #150 · Special Illustration Rare | $257.53 | 1 in 1,441 | 999 | $13,896at $13.91 a pack | Buy the single54× the price |
 Charizard exPaldean Fates · #234 · Special Illustration Rare | $257.14 | 1 in 465 | 323 | $7,762at $24.03 a pack | Buy the single30× the price |
 Team Rocket's Mewtwo exAscended Heroes · #281 · Special Illustration Rare | $245.12 | 1 in 1,528 | 1,059 | $12,602at $11.90 a pack | Buy the single51× the price |
 Mewtwo VSTARCrown Zenith · #GG44 · Galarian Gallery (any) | $239.50 | 1 in 199 | 138 | $3,563at $25.82 a pack | Buy the single15× the price |
 Mega Lucario exMega Evolution · #188 · Mega Hyper Rare | $226.78 | 1 in 2,500 | 1,733 | $15,268at $8.81 a pack | Buy the single67× the price |
 Mega Charizard X exPhantasmal Flames · #130 · Mega Hyper Rare | $210.48 | 1 in 1,250 | 867 | $10,395at $11.99 a pack | Buy the single49× the price |
 Aerodactyl VLost Origin · #180 · Alternate-art Pokémon V | $203.23 | 1 in 800 | 555 | $10,712at $19.30 a pack | Buy the single53× the price |
 Machamp VAstral Radiance · #172 · Alternate-art Pokémon V | $193.31 | 1 in 811 | 562 | $5,766at $10.26 a pack | Buy the single30× the price |
 Arceus VSTARCrown Zenith · #GG70 · Galarian Gallery (any) | $191.22 | 1 in 199 | 138 | $3,563at $25.82 a pack | Buy the single19× the price |
 Cynthia's Garchomp exDestined Rivals · #232 · Special Illustration Rare | $188.72 | 1 in 1,009 | 700 | $6,090at $8.70 a pack | Buy the single32× the price |
 Rayquaza VMAXSilver Tempest · #TG20 · Trainer Gallery (any) | $186.69 | 1 in 245 | 170 | $2,550at $15.00 a pack | Buy the single14× the price |
 Latias exSurging Sparks · #239 · Special Illustration Rare | $182.25 | 1 in 957 | 663 | $5,808at $8.76 a pack | Buy the single32× the price |
 Lugia30th Celebration · #CC-149/147 · Classic Collection | $180.26 | 1 in 296 | 205 | $2,651at $12.93 a pack | Buy the single15× the price |
 Flareon exPrismatic Evolutions · #146 · Special Illustration Rare | $174.81 | 1 in 1,441 | 999 | $13,896at $13.91 a pack | Buy the single79× the price |
 Mega Gardevoir exMega Evolution · #187 · Mega Hyper Rare | $174.18 | 1 in 2,500 | 1,733 | $15,268at $8.81 a pack | Buy the single88× the price |
 Eevee exPrismatic Evolutions · #167 · Special Illustration Rare | $171.56 | 1 in 1,441 | 999 | $13,896at $13.91 a pack | Buy the single81× the price |
 Mega Dragonite exAscended Heroes · #295 · Mega Hyper Rare | $170.69 | 1 in 1,053 | 730 | $8,687at $11.90 a pack | Buy the single51× the price |
 Mega Gardevoir exMega Evolution · #178 · Special Illustration Rare | $170.26 | 1 in 1,010 | 700 | $6,167at $8.81 a pack | Buy the single36× the price |
 Mega Lucario exMega Evolution · #179 · Special Illustration Rare | $169.48 | 1 in 1,010 | 700 | $6,167at $8.81 a pack | Buy the single36× the price |
 Gardevoir exPaldean Fates · #233 · Special Illustration Rare | $165.03 | 1 in 465 | 323 | $7,762at $24.03 a pack | Buy the single47× the price |
 PerrinTwilight Masquerade · #220 · Special Illustration Rare | $161.13 | 1 in 940 | 652 | $5,985at $9.18 a pack | Buy the single37× the price |
 Charizard30th Celebration · #CC-4/102 · Classic Collection | $143.01 | 1 in 296 | 205 | $2,651at $12.93 a pack | Buy the single19× the price |
 Ethan's Ho-Oh exDestined Rivals · #230 · Special Illustration Rare | $141.63 | 1 in 1,009 | 700 | $6,090at $8.70 a pack | Buy the single43× the price |
 N's Zoroark exAscended Heroes · #286 · Special Illustration Rare | $139.93 | 1 in 1,528 | 1,059 | $12,602at $11.90 a pack | Buy the single90× the price |
 Mega Venusaur exMega Evolution · #177 · Special Illustration Rare | $137.17 | 1 in 1,010 | 700 | $6,167at $8.81 a pack | Buy the single45× the price |
 Mega Greninja exChaos Rising · #116 · Special Illustration Rare | $129.25 | 1 in 496 | 344 | $2,092at $6.08 a pack | Buy the single16× the price |
 Mega Greninja exChaos Rising · #122 · Mega Hyper Rare | $129.08 | 1 in 1,000 | 693 | $4,213at $6.08 a pack | Buy the single33× the price |
 Origin Forme Dialga VSTARCrown Zenith · #GG68 · Galarian Gallery (any) | $121.83 | 1 in 199 | 138 | $3,563at $25.82 a pack | Buy the single29× the price |
 Blastoise ex151 · #200 · Special Illustration Rare | $116.55 | 1 in 225 | 156 | $4,441at $28.47 a pack | Buy the single38× the price |
 Pikachu VLost Origin · #TG16 · Trainer Gallery (any) | $116.41 | 1 in 244 | 169 | $3,262at $19.30 a pack | Buy the single28× the price |
 Starmie VAstral Radiance · #TG13 · Trainer Gallery (any) | $116.36 | 1 in 238 | 165 | $1,693at $10.26 a pack | Buy the single15× the price |
 Milotic exSurging Sparks · #237 · Special Illustration Rare | $106.71 | 1 in 957 | 663 | $5,808at $8.76 a pack | Buy the single54× the price |
 GroudonParadox Rift · #199 · Illustration Rare | $105.14 | 1 in 442 | 306 | $2,616at $8.55 a pack | Buy the single25× the price |
 Pikachu VMAXLost Origin · #TG17 · Trainer Gallery (any) | $103.28 | 1 in 244 | 169 | $3,262at $19.30 a pack | Buy the single32× the price |
 Mega Zygarde exPerfect Order · #124 · Mega Hyper Rare | $100.57 | 1 in 1,667 | 1,155 | $6,838at $5.92 a pack | Buy the single68× the price |
 RaichuPaldea Evolved · #211 · Illustration Rare | $98.50 | 1 in 468 | 324 | $5,268at $16.26 a pack | Buy the single53× the price |
 Origin Forme Palkia VSTARCrown Zenith · #GG67 · Galarian Gallery (any) | $97.47 | 1 in 199 | 138 | $3,563at $25.82 a pack | Buy the single37× the price |
 Charizard exObsidian Flames · #223 · Special Illustration Rare | $94.33 | 1 in 192 | 133 | $1,673at $12.58 a pack | Buy the single18× the price |
 SquirtleStellar Crown · #148 · Illustration Rare | $92.74 | 1 in 167 | 116 | $1,252at $10.79 a pack | Buy the single13× the price |
 Venusaur ex151 · #198 · Special Illustration Rare | $92.26 | 1 in 225 | 156 | $4,441at $28.47 a pack | Buy the single48× the price |
 GastlyTemporal Forces · #177 · Illustration Rare | $91.92 | 1 in 285 | 198 | $1,954at $9.87 a pack | Buy the single21× the price |
 Charmander151 · #168 · Illustration Rare | $90.23 | 1 in 188 | 131 | $3,730at $28.47 a pack | Buy the single41× the price |
 Squirtle151 · #170 · Illustration Rare | $90.22 | 1 in 188 | 131 | $3,730at $28.47 a pack | Buy the single41× the price |
 Lillie's Clefairy exJourney Together · #184 · Special Illustration Rare | $89.83 | 1 in 517 | 359 | $2,244at $6.25 a pack | Buy the single25× the price |
 BulbasaurStellar Crown · #143 · Illustration Rare | $89.19 | 1 in 167 | 116 | $1,252at $10.79 a pack | Buy the single14× the price |
 Magikarp30th Celebration · #CC-203/193 · Classic Collection | $87.99 | 1 in 296 | 205 | $2,651at $12.93 a pack | Buy the single30× the price |
 MausholdPaldea Evolved · #226 · Illustration Rare | $87.85 | 1 in 468 | 324 | $5,268at $16.26 a pack | Buy the single60× the price |
 Meowth exPerfect Order · #121 · Special Illustration Rare | $86.78 | 1 in 488 | 338 | $2,001at $5.92 a pack | Buy the single23× the price |
 Leafeon VSTARCrown Zenith · #GG35 · Galarian Gallery (any) | $86.77 | 1 in 199 | 138 | $3,563at $25.82 a pack | Buy the single41× the price |
 Darkrai VSTARCrown Zenith · #GG50 · Galarian Gallery (any) | $86.03 | 1 in 199 | 138 | $3,563at $25.82 a pack | Buy the single41× the price |
 Origin Forme Palkia VAstral Radiance · #167 · Alternate-art Pokémon V | $85.09 | 1 in 811 | 562 | $5,766at $10.26 a pack | Buy the single68× the price |
 Mew ex30th Celebration · #152 · Special Illustration Rare | $85.02 | 1 in 205 | 142 | $1,836at $12.93 a pack | Buy the single22× the price |
 Zapdos ex151 · #202 · Special Illustration Rare | $82.75 | 1 in 225 | 156 | $4,441at $28.47 a pack | Buy the single54× the price |
 Team Rocket's Moltres exDestined Rivals · #229 · Special Illustration Rare | $76.79 | 1 in 1,009 | 700 | $6,090at $8.70 a pack | Buy the single79× the price |
 Team Rocket's Nidoking exDestined Rivals · #233 · Special Illustration Rare | $76.16 | 1 in 1,009 | 700 | $6,090at $8.70 a pack | Buy the single80× the price |
 Gengar ex30th Celebration · #154 · Special Illustration Rare | $75.91 | 1 in 205 | 142 | $1,836at $12.93 a pack | Buy the single24× the price |
 Pikachu exSurging Sparks · #247 · Hyper Rare | $75.20 | 1 in 1,132 | 785 | $6,877at $8.76 a pack | Buy the single91× the price |
 PikachuPaldean Fates · #131 · Shiny Rare | $73.91 | 1 in 472 | 327 | $7,858at $24.03 a pack | Buy the single106× the price |
 Beedrill VAstral Radiance · #161 · Alternate-art Pokémon V | $73.80 | 1 in 811 | 562 | $5,766at $10.26 a pack | Buy the single78× the price |
 TyranitarPaldea Evolved · #222 · Illustration Rare | $72.60 | 1 in 468 | 324 | $5,268at $16.26 a pack | Buy the single73× the price |
 Mega Latias exMega Evolution · #181 · Special Illustration Rare | $72.50 | 1 in 1,010 | 700 | $6,167at $8.81 a pack | Buy the single85× the price |
 Garchomp VAstral Radiance · #TG23 · Trainer Gallery (any) | $71.70 | 1 in 238 | 165 | $1,693at $10.26 a pack | Buy the single24× the price |
 EeveeTwilight Masquerade · #188 · Illustration Rare | $71.25 | 1 in 272 | 188 | $1,726at $9.18 a pack | Buy the single24× the price |
 Dachsbun exStellar Crown · #169 · Special Illustration Rare | $70.42 | 1 in 541 | 375 | $4,046at $10.79 a pack | Buy the single57× the price |
 Gardevoir exScarlet & Violet · #245 · Special Illustration Rare | $68.71 | 1 in 317 | 220 | $1,960at $8.91 a pack | Buy the single29× the price |
 Pikachu151 · #173 · Illustration Rare | $67.80 | 1 in 188 | 131 | $3,730at $28.47 a pack | Buy the single55× the price |
 Glaceon VSTARCrown Zenith · #GG40 · Galarian Gallery (any) | $64.97 | 1 in 199 | 138 | $3,563at $25.82 a pack | Buy the single55× the price |
 Origin Forme Dialga VAstral Radiance · #177 · Alternate-art Pokémon V | $62.40 | 1 in 811 | 562 | $5,766at $10.26 a pack | Buy the single92× the price |
 Bulbasaur151 · #166 · Illustration Rare | $62.37 | 1 in 188 | 131 | $3,730at $28.47 a pack | Buy the single60× the price |
 Raging Bolt exTemporal Forces · #208 · Special Illustration Rare | $62.17 | 1 in 855 | 593 | $5,853at $9.87 a pack | Buy the single94× the price |
 MorpekoParadox Rift · #206 · Illustration Rare | $61.70 | 1 in 442 | 306 | $2,616at $8.55 a pack | Buy the single42× the price |
 Mew ex30th Celebration · #158 · Futuristic Rare | $60.77 | 1 in 241 | 167 | $2,159at $12.93 a pack | Buy the single36× the price |
 Pikachu ex30th Celebration · #150 · Special Illustration Rare | $58.50 | 1 in 205 | 142 | $1,836at $12.93 a pack | Buy the single31× the price |
 SprigatitoPaldea Evolved · #196 · Illustration Rare | $55.59 | 1 in 468 | 324 | $5,268at $16.26 a pack | Buy the single95× the price |
 Gengar30th Celebration · #CC-94/102 · Classic Collection | $55.38 | 1 in 296 | 205 | $2,651at $12.93 a pack | Buy the single48× the price |
 Tinkaton exPaldea Evolved · #262 · Special Illustration Rare | $53.10 | 1 in 473 | 328 | $5,333at $16.26 a pack | Buy the single100× the price |
 Team Rocket's Crobat exDestined Rivals · #234 · Special Illustration Rare | $53.07 | 1 in 1,009 | 700 | $6,090at $8.70 a pack | Buy the single115× the price |
 Mega Kangaskhan exMega Evolution · #182 · Special Illustration Rare | $52.61 | 1 in 1,010 | 700 | $6,167at $8.81 a pack | Buy the single117× the price |
 SawsbuckTemporal Forces · #166 · Illustration Rare | $52.02 | 1 in 285 | 198 | $1,954at $9.87 a pack | Buy the single38× the price |
 Lillie's DeterminationMega Evolution · #184 · Special Illustration Rare | $51.90 | 1 in 1,010 | 700 | $6,167at $8.81 a pack | Buy the single119× the price |
 Gouging Fire exTemporal Forces · #204 · Special Illustration Rare | $51.10 | 1 in 855 | 593 | $5,853at $9.87 a pack | Buy the single115× the price |
 Iron Crown exTemporal Forces · #206 · Special Illustration Rare | $50.84 | 1 in 855 | 593 | $5,853at $9.87 a pack | Buy the single115× the price |
 Gengar exTemporal Forces · #193 · Ultra Rare | $50.53 | 1 in 270 | 187 | $1,846at $9.87 a pack | Buy the single37× the price |
 Team Rocket's Mewtwo exDestined Rivals · #240 · Hyper Rare | $50.22 | 1 in 868 | 602 | $5,237at $8.70 a pack | Buy the single104× the price |
 CarmineTwilight Masquerade · #217 · Special Illustration Rare | $49.85 | 1 in 940 | 652 | $5,985at $9.18 a pack | Buy the single120× the price |
 MarillPaldea Evolved · #204 · Illustration Rare | $49.72 | 1 in 468 | 324 | $5,268at $16.26 a pack | Buy the single106× the price |
 Morty's ConvictionTemporal Forces · #211 · Special Illustration Rare | $49.54 | 1 in 855 | 593 | $5,853at $9.87 a pack | Buy the single118× the price |
 SnorlaxPaldean Fates · #202 · Shiny Rare | $49.09 | 1 in 472 | 327 | $7,858at $24.03 a pack | Buy the single160× the price |
 Chi-Yu exPaldea Evolved · #259 · Special Illustration Rare | $49.08 | 1 in 473 | 328 | $5,333at $16.26 a pack | Buy the single109× the price |
 MimikyuPaldean Fates · #160 · Shiny Rare | $48.25 | 1 in 472 | 327 | $7,858at $24.03 a pack | Buy the single163× the price |
 ChanseyTwilight Masquerade · #187 · Illustration Rare | $46.14 | 1 in 272 | 188 | $1,726at $9.18 a pack | Buy the single37× the price |
 DrowzeeScarlet & Violet · #210 · Illustration Rare | $46.02 | 1 in 313 | 217 | $1,933at $8.91 a pack | Buy the single42× the price |
 Bloodmoon Ursaluna exTwilight Masquerade · #216 · Special Illustration Rare | $45.79 | 1 in 940 | 652 | $5,985at $9.18 a pack | Buy the single131× the price |
 PlusleParadox Rift · #193 · Illustration Rare | $45.36 | 1 in 442 | 306 | $2,616at $8.55 a pack | Buy the single58× the price |
 Altaria exParadox Rift · #253 · Special Illustration Rare | $45.14 | 1 in 711 | 493 | $4,215at $8.55 a pack | Buy the single93× the price |
 Misty's PsyduckDestined Rivals · #193 · Illustration Rare | $44.87 | 1 in 271 | 188 | $1,636at $8.70 a pack | Buy the single36× the price |
 MinunParadox Rift · #194 · Illustration Rare | $44.80 | 1 in 442 | 306 | $2,616at $8.55 a pack | Buy the single58× the price |
 GengarLost Origin · #TG06 · Trainer Gallery (any) | $44.36 | 1 in 244 | 169 | $3,262at $19.30 a pack | Buy the single74× the price |
 DeerlingTemporal Forces · #165 · Illustration Rare | $42.85 | 1 in 285 | 198 | $1,954at $9.87 a pack | Buy the single46× the price |
 Salamence exJourney Together · #187 · Special Illustration Rare | $42.65 | 1 in 517 | 359 | $2,244at $6.25 a pack | Buy the single53× the price |
 RaltsScarlet & Violet · #211 · Illustration Rare | $42.23 | 1 in 313 | 217 | $1,933at $8.91 a pack | Buy the single46× the price |
 Cinccino exChaos Rising · #119 · Special Illustration Rare | $41.86 | 1 in 496 | 344 | $2,092at $6.08 a pack | Buy the single50× the price |
 Mega Zygarde exPerfect Order · #120 · Special Illustration Rare | $41.66 | 1 in 488 | 338 | $2,001at $5.92 a pack | Buy the single48× the price |
 CharmanderPaldean Fates · #109 · Shiny Rare | $40.32 | 1 in 472 | 327 | $7,858at $24.03 a pack | Buy the single195× the price |
 Rosa's EncouragementPerfect Order · #123 · Special Illustration Rare | $39.28 | 1 in 488 | 338 | $2,001at $5.92 a pack | Buy the single51× the price |
 Lugia VSTARSilver Tempest · #202 · Rainbow Rare | $38.89 | 1 in 1,111 | 770 | $11,550at $15.00 a pack | Buy the single297× the price |
 PikachuLost Origin · #TG05 · Trainer Gallery (any) | $38.39 | 1 in 244 | 169 | $3,262at $19.30 a pack | Buy the single85× the price |
 DittoPaldean Fates · #201 · Shiny Rare | $38.12 | 1 in 472 | 327 | $7,858at $24.03 a pack | Buy the single206× the price |
 Mega Clefable exPerfect Order · #119 · Special Illustration Rare | $37.76 | 1 in 488 | 338 | $2,001at $5.92 a pack | Buy the single53× the price |
 Durant exSurging Sparks · #236 · Special Illustration Rare | $37.37 | 1 in 957 | 663 | $5,808at $8.76 a pack | Buy the single155× the price |
 SlowpokeScarlet & Violet · #204 · Illustration Rare | $37.31 | 1 in 313 | 217 | $1,933at $8.91 a pack | Buy the single52× the price |
 Hydrapple exStellar Crown · #167 · Special Illustration Rare | $37.31 | 1 in 541 | 375 | $4,046at $10.79 a pack | Buy the single108× the price |
 SteelixParadox Rift · #208 · Illustration Rare | $37.12 | 1 in 442 | 306 | $2,616at $8.55 a pack | Buy the single70× the price |
 KirliaScarlet & Violet · #212 · Illustration Rare | $35.99 | 1 in 313 | 217 | $1,933at $8.91 a pack | Buy the single54× the price |
 CleffaObsidian Flames · #202 · Illustration Rare | $35.94 | 1 in 158 | 110 | $1,384at $12.58 a pack | Buy the single39× the price |
 Hisuian Sneasler VAstral Radiance · #175 · Alternate-art Pokémon V | $35.66 | 1 in 811 | 562 | $5,766at $10.26 a pack | Buy the single162× the price |
 N's Zoroark exJourney Together · #185 · Special Illustration Rare | $35.62 | 1 in 517 | 359 | $2,244at $6.25 a pack | Buy the single63× the price |
 Hydreigon exSurging Sparks · #240 · Special Illustration Rare | $34.65 | 1 in 957 | 663 | $5,808at $8.76 a pack | Buy the single168× the price |
 Sinistcha exTwilight Masquerade · #210 · Special Illustration Rare | $34.57 | 1 in 940 | 652 | $5,985at $9.18 a pack | Buy the single173× the price |
 Terapagos exStellar Crown · #170 · Special Illustration Rare | $34.33 | 1 in 541 | 375 | $4,046at $10.79 a pack | Buy the single118× the price |
 Lana's AidTwilight Masquerade · #219 · Special Illustration Rare | $33.69 | 1 in 940 | 652 | $5,985at $9.18 a pack | Buy the single178× the price |
 Blaziken VMAXSilver Tempest · #TG15 · Trainer Gallery (any) | $33.50 | 1 in 245 | 170 | $2,550at $15.00 a pack | Buy the single76× the price |
 Garchomp exParadox Rift · #245 · Special Illustration Rare | $33.35 | 1 in 711 | 493 | $4,215at $8.55 a pack | Buy the single126× the price |
 NinetalesObsidian Flames · #199 · Illustration Rare | $32.57 | 1 in 158 | 110 | $1,384at $12.58 a pack | Buy the single42× the price |
 Roaring Moon exParadox Rift · #251 · Special Illustration Rare | $32.37 | 1 in 711 | 493 | $4,215at $8.55 a pack | Buy the single130× the price |
 RioluScarlet & Violet · #215 · Illustration Rare | $31.68 | 1 in 313 | 217 | $1,933at $8.91 a pack | Buy the single61× the price |
 Charizard exObsidian Flames · #228 · Hyper Rare | $31.45 | 1 in 156 | 108 | $1,359at $12.58 a pack | Buy the single43× the price |
 Mega Starmie exPerfect Order · #118 · Special Illustration Rare | $31.34 | 1 in 488 | 338 | $2,001at $5.92 a pack | Buy the single64× the price |
 Iono's Bellibolt exJourney Together · #183 · Special Illustration Rare | $30.60 | 1 in 517 | 359 | $2,244at $6.25 a pack | Buy the single73× the price |
 Unown VSilver Tempest · #177 · Alternate-art Pokémon V | $30.21 | 1 in 667 | 462 | $6,930at $15.00 a pack | Buy the single229× the price |
 LatiosSurging Sparks · #203 · Illustration Rare | $29.08 | 1 in 300 | 208 | $1,822at $8.76 a pack | Buy the single63× the price |
 Giratina VSTARLost Origin · #201 · Rainbow Rare | $28.72 | 1 in 1,172 | 812 | $15,672at $19.30 a pack | Buy the single546× the price |
 Blaziken VSilver Tempest · #TG14 · Trainer Gallery (any) | $28.45 | 1 in 245 | 170 | $2,550at $15.00 a pack | Buy the single90× the price |
 Mew VMAXLost Origin · #TG30 · Trainer Gallery (any) | $28.41 | 1 in 244 | 169 | $3,262at $19.30 a pack | Buy the single115× the price |
 Hisuian Lilligant VAstral Radiance · #163 · Alternate-art Pokémon V | $27.51 | 1 in 811 | 562 | $5,766at $10.26 a pack | Buy the single210× the price |
 Pikachu exSurging Sparks · #219 · Ultra Rare | $27.19 | 1 in 312 | 216 | $1,892at $8.76 a pack | Buy the single70× the price |
 Lugia VSTARSilver Tempest · #211 · Gold Rare | $26.50 | 1 in 638 | 443 | $6,645at $15.00 a pack | Buy the single251× the price |
 Hop's Zacian exJourney Together · #186 · Special Illustration Rare | $26.43 | 1 in 517 | 359 | $2,244at $6.25 a pack | Buy the single85× the price |
 Regidrago VSilver Tempest · #184 · Alternate-art Pokémon V | $26.18 | 1 in 667 | 462 | $6,930at $15.00 a pack | Buy the single265× the price |
 Mega Dragalge exChaos Rising · #118 · Special Illustration Rare | $26.10 | 1 in 496 | 344 | $2,092at $6.08 a pack | Buy the single80× the price |
 FidoughScarlet & Violet · #213 · Illustration Rare | $24.37 | 1 in 313 | 217 | $1,933at $8.91 a pack | Buy the single79× the price |
 Mega Floette exChaos Rising · #117 · Special Illustration Rare | $22.74 | 1 in 496 | 344 | $2,092at $6.08 a pack | Buy the single92× the price |
 Koraidon exScarlet & Violet · #247 · Special Illustration Rare | $21.81 | 1 in 317 | 220 | $1,960at $8.91 a pack | Buy the single90× the price |
 Charizard exObsidian Flames · #215 · Ultra Rare | $21.55 | 1 in 181 | 126 | $1,585at $12.58 a pack | Buy the single74× the price |
 AZ's TranquilityChaos Rising · #120 · Special Illustration Rare | $20.26 | 1 in 496 | 344 | $2,092at $6.08 a pack | Buy the single103× the price |
 JacinthePerfect Order · #122 · Special Illustration Rare | $20.15 | 1 in 488 | 338 | $2,001at $5.92 a pack | Buy the single99× the price |
 Mega Charizard X exPhantasmal Flames · #109 · Ultra Rare | $20.07 | 1 in 211 | 146 | $1,751at $11.99 a pack | Buy the single87× the price |
 Galvantula exStellar Crown · #168 · Special Illustration Rare | $18.99 | 1 in 541 | 375 | $4,046at $10.79 a pack | Buy the single213× the price |
 LaceyStellar Crown · #172 · Special Illustration Rare | $17.85 | 1 in 541 | 375 | $4,046at $10.79 a pack | Buy the single227× the price |
 DawnPhantasmal Flames · #129 · Special Illustration Rare | $17.63 | 1 in 400 | 277 | $3,321at $11.99 a pack | Buy the single188× the price |
 GloomObsidian Flames · #198 · Illustration Rare | $17.42 | 1 in 158 | 110 | $1,384at $12.58 a pack | Buy the single79× the price |
 Roxie's PerformanceChaos Rising · #121 · Special Illustration Rare | $16.67 | 1 in 496 | 344 | $2,092at $6.08 a pack | Buy the single125× the price |
 Mega Sharpedo exPhantasmal Flames · #127 · Special Illustration Rare | $16.13 | 1 in 400 | 277 | $3,321at $11.99 a pack | Buy the single206× the price |
 Pidgeot exObsidian Flames · #225 · Special Illustration Rare | $15.87 | 1 in 192 | 133 | $1,673at $12.58 a pack | Buy the single105× the price |
 MilceryStellar Crown · #152 · Illustration Rare | $15.82 | 1 in 167 | 116 | $1,252at $10.79 a pack | Buy the single79× the price |
 ArticunoJourney Together · #161 · Illustration Rare | $14.95 | 1 in 129 | 90 | $563at $6.25 a pack | Buy the single38× the price |
 Volcanion exJourney Together · #182 · Special Illustration Rare | $14.55 | 1 in 517 | 359 | $2,244at $6.25 a pack | Buy the single154× the price |
 MeowthPhantasmal Flames · #106 · Illustration Rare | $14.43 | 1 in 119 | 82 | $983at $11.99 a pack | Buy the single68× the price |
 ScizorObsidian Flames · #205 · Illustration Rare | $14.16 | 1 in 158 | 110 | $1,384at $12.58 a pack | Buy the single98× the price |
 ClefairyPerfect Order · #94 · Illustration Rare | $13.42 | 1 in 98 | 68 | $403at $5.92 a pack | Buy the single30× the price |
 Mega Lopunny exPhantasmal Flames · #128 · Special Illustration Rare | $12.71 | 1 in 400 | 277 | $3,321at $11.99 a pack | Buy the single261× the price |
 N's ReshiramJourney Together · #167 · Illustration Rare | $12.30 | 1 in 129 | 90 | $563at $6.25 a pack | Buy the single46× the price |
 Rotom exPhantasmal Flames · #126 · Special Illustration Rare | $12.16 | 1 in 400 | 277 | $3,321at $11.99 a pack | Buy the single273× the price |
 Mega Greninja exChaos Rising · #100 · Ultra Rare | $7.97 | 1 in 217 | 151 | $918at $6.08 a pack | Buy the single115× the price |
Pack cost uses each set's TCGplayer market price for a loose pack, or MSRP when there isn't one. Odds assume every card in a rarity is equally likely. This compares one card only: packs also give you other cards, which the pack simulator values. Not financial advice.
Why the single usually wins
Specific cards are rare
A set with 11 Special Illustration Rares makes any one of them 11 times rarer than “an SIR.” That's where the cost comes from.
Prices already reflect the odds
Chase cards are expensive because they're hard to pull. The market has already priced in everyone else's packs.
Open for fun, buy to own
Opening packs is a fine hobby. If you want one card in your binder, buying it is the reliable way. More on the math in our methodology.