Alternate-art Pokémon VMAXUmbreon VMAX
$2,265
1 in 2,000 packs
Pull rate analysis
Evolving Skies pull rates
Every rarity's odds from 1 verified opening, 8,800+ packs in all, plus your chances by product and what a pack is really worth.
$1,269
$497.16
$482.19
$385.09
In Pokémon Evolving Skies, an Alternate-art Pokémon VMAX turns up in about 1 in 333 packs (0.30%), from 24 hits in 7,979 packs across 1 verified opening, checked Oct 12, 2026. At today's prices the hits in an average pack are worth $6.07, against $43.82 for a loose pack.
- 8,863Packs measuredFrom 1 verified study
- $6.07Hit value / packAverage value vs. $43.82 loose pack
- Aug 27, 2021Release dateSet code SWSH7
Pull rate summary
How often each rarity turns up, based on every verified pack we have. “Specific card” assumes every card in a rarity is equally likely.
| Rarity | Odds per pack | 95% range | Sample | How sure we are |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pokémon VSpecific card: 1 in 170 (18 cards) | 1 in 910.56% | 9.93%–11.23%±6% of the rate | 907 in 8,587packs, reconstructed | Very sureEVS-001 |
| Pokémon VMAXSpecific card: 1 in 268 (15 cards) | 1 in 185.60% | 5.14%–6.10%±9% of the rate | 494 in 8,814packs, reconstructed | Very sureEVS-001 |
| Full-art Pokémon V or SupporterSpecific card: 1 in 971 (27 cards) | 1 in 362.78% | 2.45%–3.15%±13% of the rate | 236 in 8,475packs, reconstructed | Very sureEVS-001 |
| Alternate-art Pokémon VSpecific card: 1 in 1,000 (11 cards) | 1 in 911.10% | 0.90%–1.34%±20% of the rate | 95 in 8,635packs, reconstructed | Very sureEVS-001 |
| Alternate-art Pokémon VMAXSpecific card: 1 in 2,000 (6 cards) | 1 in 3330.30% | 0.20%–0.44%±40% of the rate | 24 in 7,979packs, reconstructed | Fairly sureEVS-001 |
| Rainbow RareSpecific card: 1 in 1,905 (16 cards) | 1 in 1190.84% | 0.66%–1.04%±23% of the rate | 74 in 8,863packs, reconstructed | Very sureEVS-001 |
| Gold RareSpecific card: 1 in 1,319 (12 cards) | 1 in 1100.91% | 0.73%–1.13%±22% of the rate | 79 in 8,660packs, reconstructed | Very sureEVS-001 |
Most valuable cards
Today's TCGplayer market price, and your odds of pulling each card in one pack if every card in its rarity is equally likely.
Rayquaza VMAX
$1,269
1 in 2,000 packs
Dragonite V
$497.16
1 in 1,000 packs
Rayquaza V
$482.19
1 in 1,000 packs
Leafeon VMAX
$385.09
1 in 2,000 packs
Alternate-art Pokémon VMAX
Sylveon VMAX
$384.06
1 in 2,000 packs
Alt Art
Umbreon V
$380.03
1 in 1,000 packs
Alternate-art Pokémon VMAX
Glaceon VMAX
$307.86
1 in 2,000 packs
Alt Art
Espeon V
$241.29
1 in 1,000 packs
Alt Art
Sylveon V
$198.08
1 in 1,000 packs
Alt Art
Glaceon V
$154.00
1 in 1,000 packs
Alt Art
Leafeon V
$144.67
1 in 1,000 packs
Prices as of Oct 12, 2026. Card images are shown for identification.
What are my odds?
| Rarity | Per pack | Chance of at least one in 36 | Packs for 50% / 90% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pokémon V | 1 in 9 | 98.2% (97.7%–98.6%) | 7 / 21 |
| Pokémon VMAX | 1 in 18 | 87.4% (85.0%–89.6%) | 13 / 40 |
| Full-art Pokémon V or Supporter | 1 in 36 | 63.8% (59.1%–68.4%) | 25 / 82 |
| Alternate-art Pokémon V | 1 in 91 | 32.8% (27.7%–38.4%) | 63 / 209 |
| Alternate-art Pokémon VMAX | 1 in 333 | 10.3% (6.9%–14.7%) | 231 / 767 |
| Rainbow Rare | 1 in 119 | 26.2% (21.2%–31.4%) | 83 / 273 |
| Gold Rare | 1 in 110 | 28.0% (23.1%–33.6%) | 76 / 252 |
Ranges reflect the 95% uncertainty in the measured rate. Odds are independent per pack; no product guarantees a hit.
Your odds as you open more packs
Open Evolving Skies packs
0 packs openedEvery pack is drawn at Evolving Skies's measured pull rates, and every hit is a real card at today's price.
- Spent
- $0.00
- Pulled
- $0.00
- Net
- $0.00
$43.82 a pack · hits valued at what they'd sell for after fees
Auto speed
Default: one loose pack's TCGplayer market price today.
Open until I get…Auto-opens until you get it, then shows how your luck compares.
Your pulls
Every card you pull collects here. About 22% of packs have a hit.
Value is what you'd net selling each hit (13% fees + $0.30; under $1.50 counts as $0.05). Luck ranks your run against thousands of simulated runs of the same length. Most runs finish below the long-run average, because a few huge pulls drag the average up. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos aren't counted. Just for fun: each run is random.
Is it worth opening?
Simulates opening 36 packs using the measured pull rates and current card prices.
Booster box: $2,264 today · MSRP $144 (Scrydex, Oct 12, 2026). Sealed products sell well above MSRP once they're hard to find at retail.
Simulating…
Top chase cards
| Card | Market price | Per pack | Chance in 36 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Umbreon VMAX #215 Alternate-art Pokémon VMAX | $2,265 | 1 in 2,000 | 1.8% |
| Rayquaza VMAX #218 Alternate-art Pokémon VMAX | $1,269 | 1 in 2,000 | 1.8% |
| Dragonite V #192 Alternate-art Pokémon V | $497 | 1 in 1,000 | 3.5% |
| Rayquaza V #194 Alternate-art Pokémon V | $482 | 1 in 1,000 | 3.5% |
| Leafeon VMAX #205 Alternate-art Pokémon VMAX | $385 | 1 in 2,000 | 1.8% |
| Sylveon VMAX #212 Alternate-art Pokémon VMAX | $384 | 1 in 2,000 | 1.8% |
| Umbreon V #189 Alternate-art Pokémon V | $380 | 1 in 1,000 | 3.5% |
| Glaceon VMAX #209 Alternate-art Pokémon VMAX | $308 | 1 in 2,000 | 1.8% |
Counts hits only (Pokémon V, Pokémon VMAX, Full-art Pokémon V or Supporter, Alternate-art Pokémon V, Alternate-art Pokémon VMAX, Rainbow Rare, Gold Rare), valued at what you'd likely net selling them: market price minus 13% fees and $0.30 per card, with cards under $1.50 counted as bulk ($0.05). Commons, uncommons, regular rares and reverse holos are left out, so this understates total value slightly.
Not financial advice. Prices change daily; results are estimates, not guarantees.
Card prices: TCGplayer market price via Scrydex (105 cards), as of 2026-10-12. Sealed prices: Scrydex, Oct 12, 2026. Price paid defaults to today's market price; switch to MSRP or enter what you actually paid. Open in the full pack simulator.
Where a pack's value comes from
An average pack's hits are worth about $5.17 after selling fees, against a $3.99 MSRP (packs sell for about $43.82 today). Just 5 cards account for 53% of that.
The cards carrying the value
- Umbreon VMAX #215: $0.98 per pack (19%)
- Rayquaza VMAX #218: $0.55 per pack (11%)
- Dragonite V #192: $0.43 per pack (8%)
- Rayquaza V #194: $0.42 per pack (8%)
- Umbreon V #189: $0.33 per pack (6%)
What a hit is usually worth
Most cards in each rarity sell for far less than the few chase cards. On average you pull one card worth $20+ every 34 packs.
11 Under $2, 7 $2–10
3 Under $2, 5 $2–10, 6 $10–20, 1 $20–50
1 Under $2, 14 $2–10, 3 $10–20, 7 $20–50, 2 $50+
1 $10–20, 2 $20–50, 8 $50+
1 $10–20, 5 $50+
10 $2–10, 3 $20–50, 3 $50+
8 $2–10, 3 $10–20, 1 $20–50
Under $2 $2–10 $10–20 $20–50 $50+
Value per pack = chance of pulling each card × what you'd net selling it. Cards within a rarity are assumed equally likely. Price brackets use TCGplayer market price before fees.
Quick answers
- When did Pokémon Evolving Skies come out?
- Evolving Skies came out on Aug 27, 2021 in English.
- What are the chase cards in Evolving Skies?
- By today's market price: Umbreon VMAX (Alternate-art Pokémon VMAX, $2,265, about 1 in 2,000 packs), Rayquaza VMAX (Alternate-art Pokémon VMAX, $1,269, about 1 in 2,000 packs), and Dragonite V (Alternate-art Pokémon V, $497.16, about 1 in 1,000 packs).
- Is Evolving Skies worth opening?
- On average, no: the hits in a pack are worth about $6.07 at today's prices, against $43.82 for a loose pack. Open for fun; buy the single if you want one card.
- Is an Evolving Skies booster box worth it?
- A booster box has 36 packs and sells for about $2,264. Its hits are worth about $218 on average.
- How many packs are in an Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box?
- 8 packs.
Where these numbers come from
We only count openings we've checked against the original source. When several qualify, we add up the hits and packs across them.
TCGplayer Authentication CenterUsed in our numbers
Prices: Scrydex.
Rates are as published by the source; combined rates are total hits divided by total packs. Ranges are Jeffreys 95% intervals. How sure we are: “Very sure” when the range is within ±25% of the rate, “Fairly sure” within ±50%, otherwise “Rough estimate.”
How to cite this page
Poké Life, “Pokémon Evolving Skies pull rates,” https://poke-life.com/sets/evolving-skies/ (data checked Oct 12, 2026). CC BY 4.0.Free to share and adapt under CC BY 4.0. The rates change when we verify new openings, so include the date. A copy of the numbers that won't change: 2026-10-12 version (all versions).