IRGastly
$91.92
1 in 285 packs
Pull rate analysis
Temporal Forces pull rates
Every rarity's odds from 1 verified opening, 8,300+ packs in all, plus your chances by product and what a pack is really worth.
$62.17
$52.02
$51.10
$50.84
In Pokémon Temporal Forces, a Special Illustration Rare turns up in about 1 in 85 packs (1.17%), from 98 hits in 8,397 packs across 1 verified opening, checked Oct 7, 2026. At today's prices the hits in an average pack are worth $3.35, against $9.87 for a loose pack.
- 8,397Packs measuredFrom 1 verified study
- 35%SIR in a booster boxAt least one in 36 packs
- $3.35Hit value / packAverage value vs. $9.87 loose pack
- Mar 22, 2024Release dateSet code SV5
Pull rate summary
How often each rarity turns up, based on every verified pack we have. “Specific card” assumes every card in a rarity is equally likely.
| Rarity | Odds per pack | 95% range | Sample | How sure we are |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double RareSpecific card: 1 in 89 (15 cards) | 1 in 616.83% | 16.05%–17.63%±5% of the rate | 1,450 in 8,616packs, reconstructed | Very sureTEF-001 |
| ACE SPEC RareSpecific card: 1 in 140 (7 cards) | 1 in 205.00% | 4.55%–5.47%±9% of the rate | 431 in 8,623packs, reconstructed | Very sureTEF-001 |
| Illustration RareSpecific card: 1 in 285 (22 cards) | 1 in 137.72% | 7.18%–8.30%±7% of the rate | 674 in 8,727packs, reconstructed | Very sureTEF-001 |
| Ultra RareSpecific card: 1 in 270 (18 cards) | 1 in 156.67% | 6.16%–7.22%±8% of the rate | 568 in 8,513packs, reconstructed | Very sureTEF-001 |
| Special Illustration RareSpecific card: 1 in 855 (10 cards) | 1 in 851.17% | 0.95%–1.41%±20% of the rate | 98 in 8,397packs, reconstructed | Very sureTEF-001 |
| Hyper RareSpecific card: 1 in 833 (6 cards) | 1 in 1390.72% | 0.56%–0.92%±25% of the rate | 61 in 8,475packs, reconstructed | Very sureTEF-001 |
Most valuable cards
Today's TCGplayer market price, and your odds of pulling each card in one pack if every card in its rarity is equally likely.
Raging Bolt ex
$62.17
1 in 855 packs
Sawsbuck
$52.02
1 in 285 packs
Gouging Fire ex
$51.10
1 in 855 packs
Iron Crown ex
$50.84
1 in 855 packs
UR
Gengar ex
$50.53
1 in 270 packs
SIR
Morty's Conviction
$49.54
1 in 855 packs
IR
Deerling
$42.85
1 in 285 packs
SIR
Walking Wake ex
$39.71
1 in 855 packs
IR
Litten
$39.09
1 in 285 packs
IR
Cinccino
$36.46
1 in 285 packs
ACE SPEC Rare
Hero's Cape
$34.40
1 in 140 packs
Prices as of Oct 12, 2026. Card images are shown for identification.
Do other openings agree?
Every opening we found lands close to our numbers, across all 6 rarities.
Every opening is a bit different by luck. "Agrees" means the difference is small enough to be luck of the draw. Openings marked “Not yet verified” aren't used in our numbers.
Double Rare
Our number: 1 in 6 packs
- TCGplayer Authentication Center8,616 packs1 in 6Agrees
- DigitalTQNot yet verified691 packs1 in 6Agrees
ACE SPEC Rare
Our number: 1 in 20 packs
- TCGplayer Authentication Center8,623 packs1 in 20Agrees
- DigitalTQNot yet verified691 packs1 in 20Agrees
Illustration Rare
Our number: 1 in 13 packs
- TCGplayer Authentication Center8,727 packs1 in 13Agrees
- DigitalTQNot yet verified691 packs1 in 12Agrees
Ultra Rare
Our number: 1 in 15 packs
- TCGplayer Authentication Center8,513 packs1 in 15Agrees
- DigitalTQNot yet verified691 packs1 in 13Agrees
Special Illustration Rare
Our number: 1 in 85 packs
- TCGplayer Authentication Center8,397 packs1 in 86Agrees
- DigitalTQNot yet verified691 packs · small sample1 in 63Agrees
Hyper Rare
Our number: 1 in 139 packs
- TCGplayer Authentication Center8,475 packs1 in 139Agrees
- DigitalTQNot yet verified691 packs · small sample1 in 138Agrees
How we decide if an opening agrees
Someone who opens 100 packs can easily land on 1 in 15 or 1 in 30 for a rarity that's really 1 in 20, just by luck. Bigger openings land closer to the true rate. For each opening we work out the range its pack count could plausibly produce (a 95% interval). If our number falls inside that range, the opening agrees. "Small sample" means that range is wide, so the opening can't confirm or rule out much on its own.
What are my odds?
| Rarity | Per pack | Chance of at least one in 36 | Packs for 50% / 90% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 1 in 6 | 99.9% (99.8%–>99.9%) | 4 / 13 |
| ACE SPEC Rare | 1 in 20 | 84.2% (81.3%–86.8%) | 14 / 45 |
| Illustration Rare | 1 in 13 | 94.5% (93.2%–95.6%) | 9 / 29 |
| Ultra Rare | 1 in 15 | 91.7% (89.8%–93.3%) | 11 / 34 |
| Special Illustration Rare | 1 in 85 | 34.5% (29.2%–40.1%) | 59 / 196 |
| Hyper Rare | 1 in 139 | 22.9% (18.2%–28.2%) | 96 / 319 |
Ranges reflect the 95% uncertainty in the measured rate. Odds are independent per pack; no product guarantees a hit.
Your odds as you open more packs
Open Temporal Forces packs
0 packs openedEvery pack is drawn at Temporal Forces's measured pull rates, and every hit is a real card at today's price.
- Spent
- $0.00
- Pulled
- $0.00
- Net
- $0.00
$9.87 a pack · hits valued at what they'd sell for after fees
Auto speed
Default: one loose pack's TCGplayer market price today.
Open until I get…Auto-opens until you get it, then shows how your luck compares.
Your pulls
Every card you pull collects here. About 34% of packs have a hit.
Value is what you'd net selling each hit (13% fees + $0.30; under $1.50 counts as $0.05). Luck ranks your run against thousands of simulated runs of the same length. Most runs finish below the long-run average, because a few huge pulls drag the average up. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos aren't counted. Just for fun: each run is random.
Is it worth opening?
Simulates opening 36 packs using the measured pull rates and current card prices.
Booster box: $306 today · MSRP $162 (Scrydex, Oct 12, 2026). Sealed products sell well above MSRP once they're hard to find at retail.
Simulating…
Top chase cards
| Card | Market price | Per pack | Chance in 36 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gastly #177 Illustration Rare | $91.92 | 1 in 285 | 11.9% |
| Raging Bolt ex #208 Special Illustration Rare | $62.17 | 1 in 855 | 4.1% |
| Sawsbuck #166 Illustration Rare | $52.02 | 1 in 285 | 11.9% |
| Gouging Fire ex #204 Special Illustration Rare | $51.10 | 1 in 855 | 4.1% |
| Iron Crown ex #206 Special Illustration Rare | $50.84 | 1 in 855 | 4.1% |
| Gengar ex #193 Ultra Rare | $50.53 | 1 in 270 | 12.5% |
| Morty's Conviction #211 Special Illustration Rare | $49.54 | 1 in 855 | 4.1% |
| Deerling #165 Illustration Rare | $42.85 | 1 in 285 | 11.9% |
Counts hits only (Double Rare, Ultra Rare, ACE SPEC Rare, Illustration Rare, Special Illustration Rare, Hyper Rare), valued at what you'd likely net selling them: market price minus 13% fees and $0.30 per card, with cards under $1.50 counted as bulk ($0.05). Commons, uncommons, regular rares and reverse holos are left out, so this understates total value slightly.
Not financial advice. Prices change daily; results are estimates, not guarantees.
Card prices: TCGplayer market price via Scrydex (78 cards), as of 2026-10-12. Sealed prices: Scrydex, Oct 12, 2026. Price paid defaults to today's market price; switch to MSRP or enter what you actually paid. Open in the full pack simulator.
Where a pack's value comes from
An average pack's hits are worth about $2.73 after selling fees, against a $4.49 MSRP (packs sell for about $9.87 today). Just 5 cards account for 34% of that.
The cards carrying the value
- Gastly #177: $0.28 per pack (10%)
- Hero's Cape #152: $0.21 per pack (8%)
- Gengar ex #193: $0.16 per pack (6%)
- Sawsbuck #166: $0.16 per pack (6%)
- Deerling #165: $0.13 per pack (5%)
What a hit is usually worth
Most cards in each rarity sell for far less than the few chase cards. On average you pull one card worth $20+ every 18 packs.
14 Under $2, 1 $2–10
4 Under $2, 13 $2–10, 1 $50+
5 Under $2, 1 $10–20, 1 $20–50
3 $2–10, 9 $10–20, 8 $20–50, 2 $50+
3 $10–20, 4 $20–50, 3 $50+
3 $2–10, 3 $10–20
Under $2 $2–10 $10–20 $20–50 $50+
Value per pack = chance of pulling each card × what you'd net selling it. Cards within a rarity are assumed equally likely. Price brackets use TCGplayer market price before fees.
Quick answers
- When did Pokémon Temporal Forces come out?
- Temporal Forces came out on Mar 22, 2024 in English.
- What are the chase cards in Temporal Forces?
- By today's market price: Gastly (Illustration Rare, $91.92, about 1 in 285 packs), Raging Bolt ex (Special Illustration Rare, $62.17, about 1 in 855 packs), and Sawsbuck (Illustration Rare, $52.02, about 1 in 285 packs).
- Is Temporal Forces worth opening?
- On average, no: the hits in a pack are worth about $3.35 at today's prices, against $9.87 for a loose pack. Open for fun; buy the single if you want one card.
- Is a Temporal Forces booster box worth it?
- A booster box has 36 packs and sells for about $306. Its hits are worth about $121 on average, with a 35% chance of at least one Special Illustration Rare.
- How many packs are in a Temporal Forces Elite Trainer Box?
- 9 packs, for a 10% chance of at least one Special Illustration Rare.
Where these numbers come from
We only count openings we've checked against the original source. When several qualify, we add up the hits and packs across them.
TCGplayer Authentication CenterUsed in our numbers
DigitalTQNot yet verified
Coded YellowNot yet verified
Prices: Scrydex.
Rates are as published by the source; combined rates are total hits divided by total packs. Ranges are Jeffreys 95% intervals. How sure we are: “Very sure” when the range is within ±25% of the rate, “Fairly sure” within ±50%, otherwise “Rough estimate.”
How to cite this page
Poké Life, “Pokémon Temporal Forces pull rates,” https://poke-life.com/sets/temporal-forces/ (data checked Oct 7, 2026). CC BY 4.0.Free to share and adapt under CC BY 4.0. The rates change when we verify new openings, so include the date. A copy of the numbers that won't change: 2026-10-12 version (all versions).