Mega Zygarde ex
$100.57
1 in 1,667 packs
Pull rate analysis
Every rarity's odds from 1 verified opening, 3,600+ packs in all, plus your chances by product and what a pack is really worth.
In Pokémon Perfect Order, a Special Illustration Rare turns up in about 1 in 81 packs (1.23%), from 44 hits in 3,601 packs across 1 verified opening, checked Oct 12, 2026. At today's prices the hits in an average pack are worth $1.37, against $5.92 for a loose pack.
How often each rarity turns up, based on every verified pack we have. “Specific card” assumes every card in a rarity is equally likely.
| Rarity | Odds per pack | 95% range | Sample | How sure we are |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Double RareSpecific card: 1 in 43 (9 cards) | 1 in 520.97% | 19.64%–22.32%±6% of the rate | 743 in 3,545packs, reconstructed | Very surePOR-001 |
| Illustration RareSpecific card: 1 in 98 (11 cards) | 1 in 911.20% | 10.19%–12.25%±9% of the rate | 403 in 3,601packs, reconstructed | Very surePOR-001 |
| Ultra RareSpecific card: 1 in 211 (18 cards) | 1 in 128.54% | 7.66%–9.50%±11% of the rate | 303 in 3,545packs, reconstructed | Very surePOR-001 |
| Special Illustration RareSpecific card: 1 in 488 (6 cards) | 1 in 811.23% | 0.90%–1.62%±29% of the rate | 44 in 3,601packs, reconstructed | Fairly surePOR-001 |
| Mega Hyper RareSpecific card: 1 in 1,667 (1 cards) | 1 in 1,6670.06% | 0.01%–0.18%±138% of the rate | 2 in 3,599packs, reconstructed | Rough estimatePOR-001 |
Today's TCGplayer market price, and your odds of pulling each card in one pack if every card in its rarity is equally likely.
$100.57
1 in 1,667 packs
$86.78
1 in 488 packs
$41.66
1 in 488 packs
$39.28
1 in 488 packs
$37.76
1 in 488 packs
$31.34
1 in 488 packs
$20.15
1 in 488 packs
$13.42
1 in 98 packs
$10.89
1 in 211 packs
$8.47
1 in 211 packs
$4.78
1 in 211 packs
$4.27
1 in 98 packs
Prices as of Oct 12, 2026. Card images are shown for identification.
| Rarity | Per pack | Chance of at least one in 36 | Packs for 50% / 90% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double Rare | 1 in 5 | >99.9% | 3 / 10 |
| Illustration Rare | 1 in 9 | 98.6% (97.9%–99.1%) | 6 / 20 |
| Ultra Rare | 1 in 12 | 96.0% (94.3%–97.3%) | 8 / 26 |
| Special Illustration Rare | 1 in 81 | 36.0% (27.8%–44.5%) | 57 / 187 |
| Mega Hyper Rare | 1 in 1667 | 2.1% (0.4%–6.2%) | 1155 / 3837 |
Ranges reflect the 95% uncertainty in the measured rate. Odds are independent per pack; no product guarantees a hit.
Every pack is drawn at Perfect Order's measured pull rates, and every hit is a real card at today's price.
$5.92 a pack · hits valued at what they'd sell for after fees
Default: one loose pack's TCGplayer market price today.
Every card you pull collects here. About 38% of packs have a hit.
Value is what you'd net selling each hit (13% fees + $0.30; under $1.50 counts as $0.05). Luck ranks your run against thousands of simulated runs of the same length. Most runs finish below the long-run average, because a few huge pulls drag the average up. Commons, uncommons and reverse holos aren't counted. Just for fun: each run is random.
Simulates opening 36 packs using the measured pull rates and current card prices.
Booster box: $174 today · MSRP $162 (Scrydex, Oct 12, 2026). Sealed products sell well above MSRP once they're hard to find at retail.
Simulating…
| Card | Market price | Per pack | Chance in 36 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mega Zygarde ex #124 Mega Hyper Rare | $101 | 1 in 1,667 | 2.1% |
| Meowth ex #121 Special Illustration Rare | $86.78 | 1 in 488 | 7.1% |
| Mega Zygarde ex #120 Special Illustration Rare | $41.66 | 1 in 488 | 7.1% |
| Rosa's Encouragement #123 Special Illustration Rare | $39.28 | 1 in 488 | 7.1% |
| Mega Clefable ex #119 Special Illustration Rare | $37.76 | 1 in 488 | 7.1% |
| Mega Starmie ex #118 Special Illustration Rare | $31.34 | 1 in 488 | 7.1% |
| Jacinthe #122 Special Illustration Rare | $20.15 | 1 in 488 | 7.1% |
| Clefairy #94 Illustration Rare | $13.42 | 1 in 98 | 30.8% |
Counts hits only (Double Rare, Ultra Rare, Illustration Rare, Special Illustration Rare, Mega Hyper Rare), valued at what you'd likely net selling them: market price minus 13% fees and $0.30 per card, with cards under $1.50 counted as bulk ($0.05). Commons, uncommons, regular rares and reverse holos are left out, so this understates total value slightly.
The pack layout for this set is provisional: some slot assignments come from secondary sources.
Not financial advice. Prices change daily; results are estimates, not guarantees.
Card prices: TCGplayer market price via Scrydex (45 cards), as of 2026-10-12. Sealed prices: Scrydex, Oct 12, 2026. Price paid defaults to today's market price; switch to MSRP or enter what you actually paid. Open in the full pack simulator.
An average pack's hits are worth about $1.00 after selling fees, against a $4.49 MSRP (packs sell for about $5.92 today). Just 5 cards account for 48% of that.
Most cards in each rarity sell for far less than the few chase cards. On average you pull one card worth $20+ every 78 packs.
Under $2 $2–10 $10–20 $20–50 $50+
Value per pack = chance of pulling each card × what you'd net selling it. Cards within a rarity are assumed equally likely. Price brackets use TCGplayer market price before fees.
We only count openings we've checked against the original source. When several qualify, we add up the hits and packs across them.
TCGplayer Authentication CenterUsed in our numbers
Prices: Scrydex.
Rates are as published by the source; combined rates are total hits divided by total packs. Ranges are Jeffreys 95% intervals. How sure we are: “Very sure” when the range is within ±25% of the rate, “Fairly sure” within ±50%, otherwise “Rough estimate.”
Poké Life, “Pokémon Perfect Order pull rates,” https://poke-life.com/sets/perfect-order/ (data checked Oct 12, 2026). CC BY 4.0.Free to share and adapt under CC BY 4.0. The rates change when we verify new openings, so include the date. A copy of the numbers that won't change: 2026-10-12 version (all versions).