Market analysis4 min read
Charizard ex price: what each 151 version sells for, and your odds of pulling one
Today's market price for every Charizard ex in 151, how often each one turns up in packs, and why buying the single beats chasing it.
151 · 1,800+ packs measured
1 in 32packs per Special Illustration Rare
- Holo Energy1 in 4
- Double Rare1 in 8
- Illustration Rare1 in 12
- Ultra Rare1 in 16
- Special Illustration Rare1 in 32
- Hyper Rare1 in 52
- 1,809Packs measuredFrom 1 verified study
- 25%SIR in an elite trainer boxAt least one in 9 packs
- $8.04Hit value / packAverage value vs. $28.47 loose pack
- Sep 22, 2023Release dateSet code SV3.5
New to pull rates? The terms in 30 seconds
- “1 in 92 packs”
- On average, you'd open 92 packs to pull one. It's an average, not a promise: you could hit it in pack 3 or go 300 without one.
- SIR (Special Illustration Rare)
- Full-art cards with special artwork. Usually a set's most valuable pulls.
- IR (Illustration Rare)
- Art cards of single Pokémon. More common than SIRs, and often collected as a set.
- Hyper Rare
- The gold cards. Among the rarest pulls in modern sets.
- Double Rare / Ultra Rare
- The ex and full-art cards that make up most of a set's hits.
- Booster box / ETB
- A booster box has 36 packs. An Elite Trainer Box (ETB) has 9, plus sleeves and accessories.
On this page
Charizard ex is one of the most searched cards in the Pokémon TCG, and “Charizard ex” covers several very different cards. In 151, the most popular set it appears in, the same Charizard ex comes in three versions that sell for anywhere from about $8.62 to $320.91. Here’s what each one costs today, and what it would take to pull it yourself.
Key takeaways
- Charizard ex Special Illustration Rare (151 #199): $320.91. About 1 in 225 packs.
- Charizard ex full-art Ultra Rare (151 #183): $38.54. About 1 in 248 packs.
- Charizard ex Double Rare (151 #006): $8.62. About 1 in 90 packs.
- At today’s loose-pack price of $28.47, pulling the Special Illustration Rare costs about $6,408 on average. Buying it costs $320.91.
- Prices are for ungraded cards. Graded copies, especially PSA 10s, sell for much more.
Charizard ex prices, version by version#
Every Charizard in the sets we track, most valuable first. “Average cost to pull it” assumes you could buy packs at MSRP ($4.49), which for 151 you mostly can’t anymore; more on that below.
| # | Card | Market price | Odds per pack | Average cost to pull it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Mega Charizard X exPhantasmal Flames · #125 · SIR | $634.87 | 1 in 400 | $1,796 |
| 2 |  Charizard ex151 · #199 · SIR | $320.91 | 1 in 225 | $1,010 |
| 3 |  Mega Charizard Y exAscended Heroes · #294 · Mega Hyper Rare | $292.47 | 1 in 1,053 | $4,728 |
| 4 |  Charizard exPaldean Fates · #234 · SIR | $257.14 | 1 in 465 | $2,088 |
| 5 |  Mega Charizard X exPhantasmal Flames · #130 · Mega Hyper Rare | $210.48 | 1 in 1,250 | $5,613 |
| 6 |  Charizard30th Celebration · #CC-4/102 · CC | $143.01 | 1 in 296 | $1,329 |
| 7 |  Charizard exObsidian Flames · #223 · SIR | $94.33 | 1 in 192 | $862 |
| 8 |  Charizard ex151 · #183 · UR | $38.54 | 1 in 248 | $1,114 |
| 9 |  Charizard exObsidian Flames · #228 · HR | $31.45 | 1 in 156 | $700 |
| 10 |  CharizardLost Origin · #TG03 · Trainer Gallery (any) | $28.08 | 1 in 244 | $974 |
| 11 |  Charizard exObsidian Flames · #215 · UR | $21.55 | 1 in 181 | $813 |
| 12 |  Mega Charizard X exPhantasmal Flames · #109 · UR | $20.07 | 1 in 211 | $947 |
| 13 |  Charizard VSTARCrown Zenith · #19 · VMAX or VSTAR | $10.98 | 1 in 245 | $1,100 |
| 14 |  Radiant CharizardCrown Zenith · #20 · Radiant Rare | $9.35 | 1 in 66 | $296 |
| 15 |  Charizard ex151 · #6 · DR | $8.62 | 1 in 90 | $404 |
Ungraded (raw) TCGplayer market prices as of Oct 12, 2026, from the sets we track. Odds assume every card in a rarity is equally likely; cost to pull uses each set's pack MSRP.
The 30th Celebration card in the list is a Classic Collection reprint of the original Base Set Charizard, not a Charizard ex, but it’s often searched alongside it.
Why the versions are priced so differently#
All three 151 cards show the same Pokémon with the same attacks. The price gap comes from rarity and art:
- The Double Rare (#006) is the regular ex card with a standard frame. It’s the most common of the three, about 1 in 90 packs.
- The Ultra Rare (#183) is a full-art version with a textured surface.
- The Special Illustration Rare (#199) has full, unique artwork that extends across the card. SIRs are the chase cards of modern sets, and Charizard is the most popular Pokémon to chase.
What it costs to pull Charizard ex yourself#
151 was released in September 2023 and is no longer widely on store shelves, so most people buy its packs on the secondary market. A loose 151 pack sells for about $28.47 today, far above its $4.49 MSRP.
At that price, the averages look like this:
- Special Illustration Rare: about 1 in 225 packs, or $6,408 on average, for a card that sells for $320.91.
- Ultra Rare: about 1 in 248 packs, or $7,073, for a $38.54 card.
- Double Rare: about 1 in 90 packs, or $2,573, for a $8.62 card.
Even at MSRP, the Special Illustration Rare would average about $1,011 to pull. Either way, buying the single is far cheaper.
Your odds by 151 product#
If you’re opening 151 for fun, here’s your chance of at least one Special Illustration Rare (any of the set’s 7, not just Charizard) by product size.
| Product | At least one SIR | At least one Hyper Rare | Illustration Rares on average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 pack | 3% | 2% | 0.1 |
| Mini tin2 packs | 6% | 4% | 0.2 |
| Poster collection3 packs | 9% | 6% | 0.3 |
| Binder collection4 packs | 12% | 8% | 0.3 |
| ex box (Alakazam or Zapdos)4 packs | 12% | 8% | 0.3 |
| Booster bundle6 packs | 17% | 11% | 0.5 |
| Elite Trainer Box9 packs | 25% | 16% | 0.8 |
| Pokémon Center ETB11 packs | 29% | 19% | 0.9 |
| Ultra-Premium Collection16 packs | 40% | 27% | 1.4 |
Every pack is independent, so no product guarantees a hit.
Other Charizard ex cards#
Charizard ex also appears in sets we don’t track yet, including Obsidian Flames, Paldean Fates and several promos. Their prices differ a lot from the 151 versions, so when you look one up, search the set name and collector number together. Our guide to checking Pokémon card prices shows how.
Where these numbers come from#
Prices are TCGplayer market prices for ungraded, Near Mint cards, refreshed in our price tracker. Pull odds come from verified 151 openings on our 151 set page, split evenly across the cards in each rarity. Graded copies, especially PSA 10s, sell for much more than these raw prices.